类型:加尔根地区:上海剧发布:2020-08-05 18:36:39





------------------------------------------------  Commentary: No need for China to fake steady GDP growth  By Xinhua writer Zhang Zhongkai  BEIJING, Oct. 26 (Xinhua) -- China's economy has achieved steady growth of 6.7 percent for three consecutive quarters, leading many analysts to suspect that there has been a bit of untoward data smoothing.  However, the reality is that the government simply has no incentive or necessity to whitewash the real economic picture.  It's routine for people to view economic data from China, the world's second largest economy, with skeptical eyes, and the fact GDP growth was exactly the same for three consecutive quarters, a first since such figures were released in 1992, raised more than a few eyebrows among commentators.  However, it would not be much of a whitewash by the statistics bureau to indulge in fabrication as such moves would inevitably draw widespread skepticism.  In reality, there is no need to play the numbers game. The government has set up a flexible GDP growth range of between 6.5 percent to 7 percent this year, and China has ample policy tools, including monetary and fiscal policy as well as structural reforms, to keep the economy within this range.  Smoothing the data might seem the easiest way to an end, but the government well-knows that it would be an act of self-delusion that could easily derail structural reforms and hurt economic growth in the long run.  Admittedly, there have been cases of faking statistics, especially by provincial governments; provinces in northeast China were found doctoring GDP data during an anti-corruption probe late last year.  To solve the problem, China adopted IMF standards to strengthen its data system last year and national statisticians now collect their own independent provincial data to ensure accuracy. Earlier this month, the Chinese leadership called for the prevention of fake government statistics and vowed to punish offenders accordingly.  Regardless, central government is now edging away from evaluating local officials solely based on GDP performance, further reducing the incentive for statistics bureaus to massage the figures.  The identical quarterly performance three times in a row is clearly a coincidence, but the implication that China has a stabilizing economy is of no surprise at all.  There is an increasing consensus that GDP data as a key gauge of economic performance is somewhat outdated. It does not necessarily paint the real economic picture, and being overly GDP-oriented can be counterproductive.  There is other economic data that is particularly difficult to manipulate, including electricity output, freight traffic and logistics volume, which all show signs of stabilization and point to a recovery in factory activity and consumption.  Yes, data can be faked just as opinions can be biased, but it is often easier to question the accuracy of economic data rather than attempting to gain a real insight into economic trends through detailed research.  Nevertheless, China will continue to press ahead with its reforms while maintaining economic expansion. Time, not analysts, will tell whether China's economic rebalancing and sustainable growth are a miracle or mirage.。




新加坡国立大学李光耀公共政策学院院长马凯硕(Kishore Mahbubani)近日撰文表示,在中国召开的G20峰会可以极大地促进中美乃至全球的经济合作,通过各个地区与国家之间的政治互信和经济互补,人们将会重拾对于经济全球化的信心。









新华社再评当前经济形势:结构之变为经济释放新活力。新华社北京10月24日电题:从结构变化看中国动力——当前经济形势述评之二  新华社记者 齐中熙、安蓓  工业品出厂价格54个月以来首次由负转正,工业企业利润增速有所加快,结构调整取得积极进展……尽管经济下行压力仍大、潜在风险尚存,进入第三季度,中国经济出现了“由降转稳”的势头。探究推动这一势头背后的原因,经济深层次的结构之变无疑是巨大的动力。




“新三板公司融资后,没有太好的投资项目,所以部分投向投资性房地产。”  卖房保壳令人忧  不过有人连夜赶考场有人星夜归故里。




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